The forecast
Ollama will not publish a new stable software release by 11-04-2026.
The latest official update from Ollama, tagged v0.40.8, appeared on GitHub on the twentieth of October, at sixteen hundred and twenty minutes UTC. The platform’s release cadence has historically followed a predictable rhythm: when a stable version has existed for at least a week, another version typically follows within two weeks.
Given that the most recent release sits just over a week past its launch date, one might anticipate a new version appearing before the close of November. Yet the rule that governs the prediction is based solely on the timing of the most recent release. In this case, the rule’s outcome indicates that no new stable release will be published by the fourth of November.
This forecast does not speak to the quality or performance of any forthcoming AI features. It merely reflects the timing pattern observed in public release data. As the community watches the project’s activity on its GitHub repository, this timeline serves as a useful indicator for planning and integration efforts.
Developers and stakeholders can therefore prepare for a period of relative quiet from the Ollama team, using this window to consolidate existing deployments and plan for future updates when they do arrive.
How this will be checked
The release-cadence rule predicts another stable release within 14 days when the latest release is at least a week old. GitHub's public release timestamps determine the outcome. This measures a software release, not the quality of an AI breakthrough.