Ollama’s Upcoming Release Window: What the Data Suggests

The forecast

Ollama will not publish a new stable software release by 10-16-2026.

GitHub currently lists Ollama v0.35.0 as the most recent stable release, with a publish date of 09-28-2026 T21:23:22Z. According to the release‑cadence rule applied here, a new stable release would typically appear within 14 days of a release that is at least one week old. Because the latest release is already more than a week old and the 14‑day window ends on 10-16-2026, the model predicts that Ollama will not publish a new stable software release by that date.

This forecast is based solely on verifiable GitHub data and a simple rule‑based method that tracks release timing. It does not account for behind‑the‑scenes work, beta releases, or policy changes that could alter the schedule. Therefore, while the evidence points to no new stable version before the stated deadline, the actual release timeline could still shift if the project’s internal cadence changes or if a major update is pushed outside the typical window. Users and stakeholders should monitor the GitHub releases page for any updates that deviate from this pattern.

How this will be checked

The release-cadence rule predicts another stable release within 14 days when the latest release is at least a week old. GitHub's public release timestamps determine the outcome. This measures a software release, not the quality of an AI breakthrough.