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USGS Forecast: 24‑Hour Earthquake Count Likely Around Eleven

A recent USGS snapshot listed eleven global earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the last 24 hours. The next measurement window, from 10‑03‑2026 18:13 EDT to 10‑04‑2026 18:13 EDT, is predicted to stay within a five‑point range of that count. This article explains how the persistence baseline works and why the forecast does not serve as a warning or location prediction.

Aisha Rahman50% confidence10-04-2026 18:13:15 EDT